Outfielder Nathan Lukes exited Game 1 of the ALCS during the fourth inning tonight after fouling a ball off of his knee earlier in the game. He was replaced by Myles Straw in the outfield, and manager John Schneider noted to Ken Rosenthal on the FOX Sports broadcast that Lukes was going to get an x-ray done on his ailing knee, and that the issue “looked more like a bruise” upon initial evaluation. The Blue Jays later announced that he had exited the game due to a right knee contusion and would undergo further evaluation. After the game, Schneider told reporters (including Mitch Bannon of The Athletic) that Lukes’s x-rays came back clean and would be back in the lineup tomorrow if medically cleared to play.
While it’s undoubtedly good news that Lukes avoided a fracture, the injury is still worrisome for the Jays. Lukes was only an average bat in the regular season this year, with a 103 wRC+ across 135 games, but in five playoff games so far this postseason he’s been a key piece of the Toronto lineup with a .286/.357/.429 slash line across his 14 plate appearances this October. Straw and Davis Schneider would be the most likely candidates to step into the lineup if Lukes were forced to miss time, and while they both were respectable pieces for the Jays this year, adding another right-handed bat to the lineup would be less than ideal against Seattle’s heavily right-handed pitching staff given that Lukes is a career 109 wRC+ hitter against righties.
It likely won’t be clear just how serious the bruise Lukes is dealing with is until tomorrow, when he’ll be re-evaluated to see if he can play. Players like Kyle Tucker, Mike Trout, and Cody Bellinger have missed significant time during the regular season in recent years due to bone bruises after fouling balls off of their knee or shin, though it’s unclear if Lukes’s ailment is at quite that level of severity. It’s entirely possible that Lukes is dealing with a much less serious contusion and won’t be at substantial risk for missing time, particularly given the fact that players will typically attempt to play through injuries they normally wouldn’t in the postseason.
With that being said, it’s worth keeping an eye on Lukes even if he’s able to play tomorrow. It wouldn’t be a surprise if the contusion was serious enough to impact his ability on the field. Even if he’s not impacted at the plate, he’ll surely be moving more gingerly on the bases and in the field than he normally would. With Schneider boasting a 127 wRC+ in the regular season and a 2-for-8 line with two walks in the posteason this year, it’s not hard to imagine a diminished Lukes no longer being preferable to start over Schneider, who could be brought into the lineup either by shifting Anthony Santander to right field and placing him in left, or moving Addison Barger to right field to open up third base for Ernie Clement so he can play second.